Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000081 0.000097 0.000113 0.000131 0.000152 0.000174 0.000199
2025-02-09 0.000061 0.000080 0.000102 0.000129 0.000161 0.000196 0.000238
2025-02-16 0.000053 0.000076 0.000102 0.000135 0.000176 0.000222 0.000278
2025-02-23 0.000044 0.000068 0.000097 0.000136 0.000183 0.000239 0.000309
2025-03-02 0.000036 0.000059 0.000090 0.000131 0.000184 0.000247 0.000328
2025-03-09 0.000030 0.000054 0.000086 0.000130 0.000188 0.000260 0.000352
2025-03-16 0.000026 0.000049 0.000082 0.000130 0.000193 0.000272 0.000376
2025-03-23 0.000023 0.000046 0.000081 0.000131 0.000200 0.000287 0.000403
2025-03-30 0.000019 0.000042 0.000077 0.000130 0.000203 0.000298 0.000424
2025-04-06 0.000016 0.000038 0.000073 0.000127 0.000204 0.000305 0.000441
2025-04-13 0.000015 0.000037 0.000073 0.000131 0.000214 0.000324 0.000474
2025-04-20 0.000012 0.000033 0.000069 0.000127 0.000213 0.000328 0.000486
2025-04-27 0.000010 0.000030 0.000067 0.000127 0.000218 0.000341 0.000513
2025-05-04 0.000008 0.000028 0.000064 0.000126 0.000221 0.000352 0.000536
2025-05-11 0.000008 0.000027 0.000065 0.000132 0.000234 0.000375 0.000575
2025-05-18 0.000007 0.000026 0.000064 0.000132 0.000239 0.000389 0.000603
2025-05-25 0.000005 0.000022 0.000059 0.000128 0.000237 0.000391 0.000615
2025-06-01 0.000004 0.000020 0.000057 0.000127 0.000240 0.000401 0.000637
2025-06-08 0.000003 0.000019 0.000055 0.000126 0.000243 0.000413 0.000661
2025-06-15 0.000003 0.000018 0.000055 0.000128 0.000250 0.000427 0.000689
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.000016 0.000053 0.000126 0.000252 0.000436 0.000710
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000014 0.000050 0.000124 0.000251 0.000441 0.000725
2025-07-06 0.000001 0.000014 0.000051 0.000128 0.000262 0.000462 0.000763